FNUS75 KGJT 021455
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RABBIT MOUNTAIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
855 AM MDT MON MAY 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT
SHOWERS ON SUNDAY HAS MOVED ONTO THE PLAINS THIS MORNING. THERE
IS A MIXTURE OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AVAILABLE THIS AFTERNOON
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS. THE DEEP
MIXING LAYER WILL QUICKLY COLLAPSE AROUND SUNSET WITH STRONG A
SURFACE-BASED INVERSION DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE A WARMING
TREND STARTS TODAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEK. MIXING WILL BE
LIMITED UNDER STABLE CONDITIONS. THE NEXT SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL BE NEXT WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO WEST 2-8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY NEAR SHOWERS OR
                    VIRGA.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...BECOMING GOOD BY 1300.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....19-24 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...HON SCHLAPFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110502.RABBI.01/GJT