FNUS72 KJAX 021344
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HONEY PRAIRIE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
944 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0712 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN CENTERED NORTHEAST
OF THE AREA TODAY CONTINUING TO MOISTEN THE LOW LEVEL AIRMASS AND
MAINTAIN EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TOWARD THE
AREA ON TUESDAY AND AS A RESULT WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY
BUT SPEEDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN UNDER 15 MPH. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE COLD FRONT AS IT PUSHES THROUGH
THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST BEHIND
THE FRONT.

INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL HEIGHTEN THE CHANCE FOR FOG
DEVELOPMENT TUESDAY MORNING WITH VISIBILITIES POSSIBLY BELOW 1 MILE...
ESPECIALLY WHERE IT MIXES WITH SMOKE.

A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
                    AND FOG IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....70.

TIME (EDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........34     34     34     34     31     31
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     76     84     88     88     87
RH..............100    76     54     42     38     43
20 FT WIND......SE 1   SE 5   SE 7   SE 7   SE 8   SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....700    600    2900   5300   5300   5000
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10  SE 10  SE 10  SE 12  SE 12  SE 15
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG AND
                    PATCHY SMOKE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1400 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 6 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........31     22     22     22     41     41
WEATHER COV.....                            AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP............85     78     72     68     66     63
RH..............43     56     69     78     87     93
20 FT WIND......SE 8   E 8    SE 7   SE 5   SE 1   S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   1400   1400   800    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15  E 16   E 16   SE 10  SE 5   SE 5
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG AND
                    PATCHY SMOKE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.

$$
FORECASTER...CARROLL
REQUESTED BY...TERRI JENKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110502.HONEY.01/JAX