FNUS74 KLZK 021133 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO RIVER FLOOD...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 633 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0628 CDT ON MAY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE YET AGAIN TODAY. THUS...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE ESSENTIALLY ZERO. COOL NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY AS MUCH OF THE AREA REMAINS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL OF THIS RAIN. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN EXTREMELY LOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK...AND LIKELY INTO NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........43 AT INCIDENT...MAX 52. RH..................95 PERCENT AT INCIDENT...MIN 63 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT INCIDENT...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............43 43 45 46 48 49 50 51 51 52 52 52 RH..............95 95 91 85 80 75 72 69 67 65 64 64 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N TRANSP WIND SPD.23 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39. RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC PC WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............51 50 48 46 44 43 43 42 41 41 40 40 RH..............64 66 70 75 77 79 81 84 85 87 88 88 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N NW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N NW EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 70 70 70 70 70 70 60 60 60 60 60 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63. RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC WEATHER COV.....LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW TEMP............39 39 41 45 49 53 56 58 60 62 63 63 RH..............89 90 82 71 61 54 49 45 42 39 38 37 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...55 REQUESTED BY...JEFF WEST TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110502.BUFFA.01/LZK