FNUS75 KMSO 021555
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAYES CREEK Z
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
955 AM MDT MON MAY 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 MDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND ALLOW BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS TO DEVELOP BY 1200 HOURS.
WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY UP TO 30 MPH AROUND 1400 HOURS AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WHICH SHOULD PASS CLOSER TO 1700 HOURS. WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT LATE THIS EVENING AND REMAIN
ELEVATED THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. CUMULUS BUILD UP TODAY COULD PRODUCE
A FEW LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE.
PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD TONIGHT AND THEN SHOWERY BY
LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS VERY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE UPSLOPE WINDS TO 6 MPH THIS MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-15 MPH BY 1200 HOURS.
                    GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH AROUND 1400 HOURS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DEROSA/MEAD
REQUESTED BY...JACQUIE PARKS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110502.HAYES.02/MSO