FNUS73 KAPX 031456
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR I R  WEATHER STATION...STATE OF MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1056 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS...WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE EAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO
VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. MAINLY QUIET AND COOL WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE IN NORTHERN MICHIGAN...WITH PERHAPS A FEW SPRINKLES
THIS EVENING ACROSS THE BURN SITE. LIGHT NORTH WINDS AT TIME OF
IGNITION WILL BACK SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHWESTERLY AS LAKE MICHIGAN
LAKE BREEZE COMES INLAND.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL SLOWLY LOWER INTO THE AFTERNOON...
BUT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. GOOD RH
RECOVERY EXPECTED THIS EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (600) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (600).

TIME (EDT)      5PM
SKY (%).........78
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............49
RH..............40
20 FT WIND DIR..N
20 FT WIND SPD..7
20 FT WIND GUST.15
SMOKE DISP......600

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110503.IRWEA.01/APX