FNUS75 KBOU 040439 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RMA SEC 6 2...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1039 PM MDT TUE MAY 3 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BE PUSHING EAST OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES JUST A COUPLE DEGREES COOLER AND HUMIDITIES SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN TUESDAY. ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT TO BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS VERY EARLY IN THE MORNING...AND AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME HEATING FURTHER DESTABILIZES THE ATMOSPHERE. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20-25 MPH POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY NEAR SHOWERS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40. MAX HUMIDITY........64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH 9-15 MPH. GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10000-11000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....34. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTH 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 0-4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72. MIN HUMIDITY........21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHWEST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8800-9800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMA SEC 6 2. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/03-22 73 3 50 35 CALM 1 3 1 W24 205 S 2 322 P 05/03-23 73 3 48 44 S 2 2 3 1 W28 183 S 2 350 P 05/04-00 72 6 46 50 S 2 2 3 1 SW30 161 S 2 377 P 05/04-01 72 6 45 55 S 2 2 3 1 W28 166 S 2 401 P 05/04-02 72 6 43 58 S 3 3 3 1 W25 171 SW 2 425 P 05/04-03 72 6 42 59 S 3 3 3 1 W24 176 SW 3 449 P 05/04-04 72 6 41 61 S 3 3 3 1 W29 189 SW 3 474 P 05/04-05 72 6 41 62 S 3 3 3 1 W36 203 S 2 498 P 05/04-06 62 6 41 63 S 3 3 3 1 W41 216 S 2 522 P 05/04-07 62 6 43 64 SW 2 2 3 1 W45 903 SW 2 1810 P 05/04-08 62 0 46 61 CALM 1 3 1 W45 1589 W 2 3097 P 05/04-09 62 0 49 55 NW 1 3 1 W44 2275 NW 2 4384 P 05/04-10 62 0 53 46 NW 2 2 3 1 W41 5042 NW 7 52571 F 05/04-11 62 0 56 39 NW 3 3 3 1 W38 7808 W 12 100759 V 05/04-12 62 20 59 34 N 6 6 3 1 W35 10574 W 16 148946 V 05/04-13 62 20 60 30 N 7 12 3 1 W31 10797 W 15 135029 V 05/04-14 62 20 61 28 N 10 16 3 1 W28 11020 W 13 121112 V 05/04-15 62 20 62 26 N 12 18 3 1 W25 11243 W 12 107195 V 05/04-16 62 20 62 25 N 14 20 3 1 W25 10393 W 10 97589 G 05/04-17 62 20 61 25 N 15 22 3 1 W26 9544 NW 10 87983 G 05/04-18 64 21 59 27 N 16 24 3 1 W28 8695 NW 10 78378 G 05/04-19 64 21 56 30 N 15 22 3 1 W26 5881 N 10 52970 F 05/04-20 64 21 52 37 NE 12 17 3 1 W26 3068 NE 10 27563 P 05/04-21 64 21 48 46 NE 8 8 3 1 W26 255 NE 9 2155 P 05/04-22 64 21 45 58 NE 5 5 3 1 W30 267 NE 8 1862 P 05/04-23 64 21 43 71 NE 2 2 2 1 W35 279 N 7 1568 P 05/05-00 33 2 41 84 CALM 1 2 1 W38 291 N 5 1274 P 05/05-01 33 2 39 92 CALM 1 2 1 W40 318 NW 3 915 P 05/05-02 33 2 38 98 S 3 3 2 1 W40 344 W 2 556 P 05/05-03 33 0 36 100 S 5 5 2 1 NW39 371 CALM 196 P 05/05-04 33 0 36 98 S 5 5 2 1 NW38 373 S 2 821 P 05/05-05 33 0 36 93 S 6 6 3 1 NW37 375 S 5 1446 P 05/05-06 3 0 36 87 S 6 6 3 1 NW36 377 S 6 2071 P 05/05-07 3 0 39 77 S 7 7 3 1 NW33 1518 S 6 4578 P 05/05-08 3 0 44 62 SE 7 7 3 1 NW33 2660 W 5 7084 P 05/05-09 3 0 50 49 SE 7 7 3 1 NW32 3802 W 3 9591 P 05/05-10 3 0 56 38 SE 5 5 3 1 NW30 5668 W 7 44647 F 05/05-11 3 0 60 32 SE 3 3 3 1 NW29 7535 W 10 79703 G 05/05-12 0 0 64 27 CALM 1 3 1 NW29 9402 NW 14 114759 V 05/05-13 0 0 67 25 CALM 1 3 1 NW30 9716 W 15 127668 V 05/05-14 0 0 68 23 CALM 1 2 1 NW32 10031 W 16 140578 V 05/05-15 0 0 69 22 NW 2 2 2 1 W33 10346 W 17 153487 E 05/05-16 0 0 70 21 NW 5 5 3 1 W32 9210 W 14 118757 V 05/05-17 0 0 69 21 NW 6 6 3 1 W29 8074 W 12 84027 G 05/05-18 0 0 67 23 NW 7 7 4 1 W26 6938 W 8 49297 F 05/05-19 0 0 65 27 N 6 6 4 1 W24 4687 NW 6 32994 P 05/05-20 0 0 60 35 NE 3 3 3 1 W23 2436 N 5 16691 P 05/05-21 0 0 56 45 NE 2 2 3 1 W24 184 NE 2 388 P 05/05-22 0 0 53 51 E 3 3 3 1 W29 171 N 3 503 P 05/05-23 0 0 51 56 S 5 5 4 1 W33 157 W 5 617 P 05/06-00 2 0 49 59 SW 6 6 4 1 W37 143 SW 6 731 P 05/06-01 2 0 47 61 SW 6 6 4 1 W37 144 SW 7 799 P 05/06-02 2 0 46 62 S 7 7 5 1 W35 144 SW 7 867 P 05/06-03 2 0 44 62 S 7 7 5 1 W31 144 SW 7 935 P 05/06-04 2 0 44 60 S 7 7 5 1 W29 160 SW 8 1051 P 05/06-05 2 0 44 57 S 8 8 5 1 W26 175 SW 8 1167 P 05/06-06 25 0 44 55 S 8 8 5 1 W24 191 SW 8 1283 P 05/06-07 25 0 46 51 S 8 8 5 1 W23 238 SW 8 1594 P 05/06-08 25 0 50 44 SW 7 7 5 1 W22 285 SW 8 1904 P 05/06-09 25 0 56 37 SW 7 7 5 1 W22 332 SW 8 2214 P 05/06-10 25 0 61 32 W 7 7 5 1 W22 1994 W 10 27361 P 05/06-11 25 0 65 28 W 7 7 4 1 W24 3657 W 14 52509 F 05/06-12 27 0 68 26 W 7 7 4 1 W25 5319 W 17 77656 G 05/06-13 27 0 70 24 W 8 8 4 1 W28 7037 W 18 114049 V 05/06-14 27 0 72 23 W 9 9 5 1 W29 8756 W 20 150441 E 05/06-15 27 0 73 22 W 10 16 5 1 W30 10475 W 21 186834 E 05/06-16 27 0 73 22 NW 12 17 5 1 W31 8792 W 21 159530 E 05/06-17 27 0 72 22 NW 13 18 5 1 W31 7110 W 22 132227 V 05/06-18 22 0 70 24 NW 13 20 5 1 W32 5428 W 22 104924 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JASON FALLON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110503.RMASE.01/BOU