FNUS73 KDMX 030412
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK CREEK RX...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1112 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE EASTERN DAKOTAS INTO WESTERN KANSAS WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN
IOWA TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BE NEARLY OVERHEAD TUESDAY NIGHT.  NORTHWEST TO
NORTH FLOW THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY.  WINDS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY TOWARD EVENING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (50400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (105900 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........23        24        21        21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............30        43        50        54
RH..............81        49        36        34
20 FT WIND......NW 5      NW 8G10   N 12G15   N 9G10
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 4G5    NW 6G10   N 9G15    N 6G10
MIX HGT (FT)....300       6000      7000      7600
MIXNG WIND......NW 7      N 17      N 16      N 16
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         4

$$
FORECASTER...SCHUMACHER
REQUESTED BY...DAN PAULSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110503.ELKCR.01/DMX