FNUS73 KEAX 031448 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 28...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 940 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 CDT ON MAY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... FOR TODAY...WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE BECOMING SUSTAINED OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN FAIRLY DRY BELOW 30 PERCENT. TOMORROW...WINDS WILL SWITCH TO SOUTHEASTERLY AND INCREASE TO AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. THEREFORE...THE FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN ELEVATED TODAY AND WEDNESDAY DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER AT NIGHT AND REMAIN ABOVE 30 PERCENT THURSDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE PULLS MOISTURE IN FROM THE SOUTH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-10000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH-NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........18 17 17 16 15 4 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............61 63 64 64 64 63 RH..............30 26 24 23 22 22 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NNW NNW NNW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 4 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 4 4 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 3 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 4 TO 5 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........16 18 23 27 32 37 39 42 47 52 57 63 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............61 58 53 50 48 47 45 44 43 42 41 40 RH..............22 26 32 37 42 45 50 52 54 56 58 59 20 FT WIND DIR..N NNE NE NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.8 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (24-51 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.9 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING 18 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........24 24 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 44 46 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............40 43 48 54 59 63 66 69 71 71 71 69 RH..............59 56 48 41 37 33 31 29 28 28 29 30 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 22 22 23 20 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 12 18 22 25 27 27 27 30 25 23 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...DEROCHE REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110503.UNIT2.03/EAX