FNUS76 KMFR 032155
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR STONE CHAIR...BLM CBD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
255 PM PDT TUE MAY 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0905 PDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. A THERMAL TROUGH ALONG THE COAST WILL BRING MODERATE
OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE BURN AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN
THE THERMAL TROUGH MOVES INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH WINDS
BECOMING NORTH-NORTHEAST AND DECREASE.


HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND A WEAK TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM  IS CENTERED NORTH OF THE
AREA EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS. THEN ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ON FRIDAY. A MUCH STRONGER FRONTAL SYSTEM
MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY EVENING  WITH WET AND
COOL CONDITIONS. UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY AS A
TROUGH  MOVES OVER THE REGION.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH DECREASING
                      TO 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING
                     DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 18
                     MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING
                     BECOMING NORTH-NORTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                     AFTERNOON
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                     1500-2000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-NORTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                      6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...NIKI GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110503.STONE.01/MFR