FNUS72 KMLB 032219
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAY    ANGELS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
619 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1757 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OVER THE WILDFIRE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL BECOME LIGHT AFTER SUNSET THIS
EVENING...VEERING TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HIGHER MOISTURE AND LIGHT
SOUTHWEST WINDS MAY ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF PATCHY FOG
TOWARDS DAYBREAK ON WEDNESDAY.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE SITE OF THE FIRE IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS
BECOME NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITATION WITH THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL...LESS THAN
0.05". A THUNDERSTORM MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FIRE IN THE
AFTERNOON IF THE TIMING OF THE FRONT IS DELAYED ALLOWING FOR
ADDITIONAL HEATING AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............78  76  75  73  72  71  71  70  70  69  68  67
RH..............65  74  76  84  87  90  87  90  87  90  93  93
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12  9   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  10  10

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER
                    NOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10
                    TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
LVORI...............0.


.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
LVORI...............3.


$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110503.JAYAN.02/MLB