FNUS75 KPUB 032242
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND GULCH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
442 PM MDT TUE MAY 3 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEATHER DISTURBANCE PASSING TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA
ON WED WILL HELP KICK UP THE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA BY LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING.  HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE LOW ON WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE OF RAPID RATES OF FIRE
SPREAD IF FUELS WERE SUFFICIENTLY DRY.  LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES
ARE REPORTING FUELS ARE TOO WET ACROSS THIS ZONE TO WARRANT ANY FIRE
WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS.  ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY EVENING...BRINGING A WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTHEAST INTO
THE FIRE AREA BETWEEN 2000 AND 2100.  HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE
AGAIN WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING
BY THURSDAY MORNING.  NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE AREA THOUGH.

A SLIGHT COOL DOWN IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY WITH WINDS REMAINING OUT
OF THE EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  A RETURN OF MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES
ALONG WITH BREEZY WEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY WHICH WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST 5-9 MPH UNTIL 1900 THEN SOUTHWEST WINDS
                    AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(38 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-68F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    WEST 10-20 MPH.  GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH AFTER 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 21 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN AROUND 19
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110503.SANDG.01/PUB