FNUS73 KABR 041142
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR COTEAU PRAIRIE...FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
642 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS OVER THE BURN
AREA...ESPECIALLY ONCE WE GET SOME DAYTIME HEATING.  THEN A FRONT NEARS
THE AREA TOWARD MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WITH A WIND SHIFT AND DECREASING
WINDS.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT CLOUD). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 1300...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 4000-4800 FT AGL AFTER
                    1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 33 TO 38 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTH
                    41 TO 46 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN 34 TO 39 MPH
                    UNTIL 1600...THEN 19 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....AROUND 7400 UNTIL 1000. 88300-118300 AFTER
                    1300.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........87     83     84     86     88
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............52     55     58     59     58
RH..............45     44     44     46     50
20 FT WIND......S 17   S 16   S 14   S 12   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     20     20     10

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT CLOUD). A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 0100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 300-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....AROUND 69200 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2200-7600.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........89     83     75     68     63     55
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     52     48     46     43     42
RH..............52     65     75     79     82     82
20 FT WIND......SW 5   W 5    W 5    NW 6   NW 6   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...KLEFFMAN
REQUESTED BY...FWS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110504.COTEA.01/ABR