FNUS73 KAPX 041235 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR COUNTY LINE BURN...DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 835 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...GREAT WEATHER FOR BURNING EXPECTED TODAY WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION. DEEP MIXING INTO QUITE THE DRY AIRMASS ALOFT WILL ALLOW HUMIDITIES TO DIP BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS AROUND IGNITION TIME...WITH WINDS BECOMING A BIT GUSTY FOR A TIME INTO THE AFTERNOON AS WELL. NO MAJOR WIND SHIFTS ARE EXPECTED. HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE...AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY AROUND SUNSET. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 60. RH..................31 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-7800 FT AGL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1300) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1700). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............44 49 52 55 56 58 59 59 59 57 54 50 RH..............53 42 36 31 29 26 25 25 25 27 31 37 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 7 8 10 9 8 8 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 16 17 17 16 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......400 600 100013001600170017001400900 400 100 0 $$ FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110504.COUNT.01/APX