FNUS75 KBOU 040426 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RUNNING DEER PRESCRIBED FIRE...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1026 PM MDT TUE MAY 3 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BE PUSHING EAST OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES JUST A COUPLE DEGREES COOLER AND HUMIDITIES SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN TUESDAY. ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT TO BRING A SLIGHT CH ACNE OF SHOWERS VERY EARLY IN THE MORNING...AND AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME HEATING FURTHER DESTABILIZES THE ATMOSPHERE. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20-25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY NEAR SHOWERS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39. MAX HUMIDITY........65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTH 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........23%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-10 MPH. GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN QUICKLY INCREASING TO 10200-11200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT BY 1400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35. MAX HUMIDITY........71%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 9-15 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70. MIN HUMIDITY........21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTH 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8000-9000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1800. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RUNNING DEER PRESCRIBED FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/03-22 76 10 50 42 W 3 3 3 1 W14 283 W 3 987 P 05/03-23 76 10 48 49 N 5 5 3 1 W18 243 N 3 848 P 05/04-00 81 10 46 54 NE 5 5 3 1 W24 203 N 5 710 P 05/04-01 81 10 44 58 NE 5 5 3 1 W29 219 N 5 864 P 05/04-02 81 10 43 61 N 5 5 3 1 W32 235 N 5 1018 P 05/04-03 81 10 41 63 N 5 5 3 1 W35 252 N 6 1172 P 05/04-04 81 10 41 64 N 6 6 3 1 W35 263 N 6 1407 P 05/04-05 81 10 41 64 NW 7 7 3 1 W32 274 NW 7 1643 P 05/04-06 62 10 41 65 NW 7 7 3 1 W31 285 NW 8 1878 P 05/04-07 62 10 42 64 NW 6 6 3 1 W32 426 NW 7 2381 P 05/04-08 62 0 45 61 N 6 6 2 1 W33 567 NW 6 2885 P 05/04-09 62 0 49 54 N 5 5 2 1 W33 707 N 6 3388 P 05/04-10 62 0 53 46 N 6 6 2 1 W32 3670 NW 7 31405 P 05/04-11 62 0 56 39 N 7 7 2 1 W30 6632 W 9 59421 F 05/04-12 62 20 58 34 N 7 7 2 1 W28 9594 W 10 87438 G 05/04-13 62 20 60 30 N 5 5 2 1 W28 10327 W 13 120583 V 05/04-14 62 20 61 27 NW 5 8 3 1 W29 11059 W 16 153729 E 05/04-15 62 20 61 25 NW 5 8 3 1 W30 11792 W 18 186875 E 05/04-16 62 20 61 23 NW 7 12 3 1 W30 10862 W 18 176819 E 05/04-17 62 20 60 23 NW 10 15 3 1 W30 9931 W 20 166763 E 05/04-18 58 10 58 24 NW 14 21 3 1 W31 9001 W 20 156707 E 05/04-19 58 10 56 26 N 14 21 3 1 W32 6459 NW 20 111337 V 05/04-20 58 10 52 32 N 12 17 3 1 W33 3917 N 18 65968 G 05/04-21 58 10 48 39 N 8 8 3 1 W35 1376 N 17 20599 P 05/04-22 58 10 45 47 N 6 6 3 1 W36 1529 N 14 17332 P 05/04-23 58 10 43 55 NW 3 3 2 1 W37 1683 N 10 14065 P 05/05-00 22 0 41 63 NW 2 2 2 1 W37 1837 N 7 10798 P 05/05-01 22 0 40 68 NW 2 2 2 1 W37 1399 N 6 7708 P 05/05-02 22 0 38 70 W 3 3 2 1 W37 962 NW 5 4618 P 05/05-03 22 0 37 71 W 5 5 2 1 W36 524 W 3 1528 P 05/05-04 22 0 37 70 W 5 5 2 1 NW37 531 W 3 1562 P 05/05-05 22 0 37 67 W 3 3 2 1 NW37 538 W 3 1596 P 05/05-06 1 0 37 65 W 3 3 2 1 NW37 545 W 3 1631 P 05/05-07 1 0 39 61 W 5 5 2 1 NW36 1596 W 5 7209 P 05/05-08 1 0 44 52 S 6 6 3 1 NW35 2648 W 5 12787 P 05/05-09 1 0 50 44 SE 7 7 3 1 NW33 3699 W 6 18366 P 05/05-10 1 0 55 37 S 7 7 3 1 NW33 5467 W 9 54862 F 05/05-11 1 0 60 33 S 6 6 3 1 NW32 7235 W 13 91358 G 05/05-12 0 0 63 29 S 5 5 3 1 NW33 9003 W 16 127855 V 05/05-13 0 0 65 26 S 3 3 3 1 NW33 9232 W 16 132777 V 05/05-14 0 0 67 24 S 3 3 2 1 NW35 9461 W 17 137700 V 05/05-15 0 0 68 22 S 3 3 2 1 NW36 9690 W 17 142623 V 05/05-16 0 0 68 21 SW 5 5 2 1 NW35 8427 W 14 106683 V 05/05-17 0 0 67 21 SW 5 5 2 1 W32 7163 W 10 70742 G 05/05-18 0 0 65 22 W 6 6 2 1 W31 5900 W 7 34802 P 05/05-19 0 0 63 23 W 5 5 2 1 W30 3998 W 5 23266 P 05/05-20 0 0 59 26 NW 3 3 3 1 W29 2095 NW 3 11729 P 05/05-21 0 0 54 32 N 3 3 3 1 W28 193 CALM 193 P 05/05-22 0 0 51 39 NW 5 5 3 1 W28 184 NW 3 438 P 05/05-23 0 0 49 48 NW 6 6 4 1 W28 175 NW 5 684 P 05/06-00 2 0 47 57 NW 7 7 4 1 W26 167 NW 7 929 P 05/06-01 2 0 46 62 NW 7 7 4 1 W25 159 NW 7 960 P 05/06-02 2 0 44 66 NW 7 7 5 1 W24 152 NW 8 991 P 05/06-03 2 0 43 67 NW 7 7 5 1 NW23 145 NW 8 1023 P 05/06-04 2 0 42 65 NW 7 7 5 1 NW25 144 W 8 1036 P 05/06-05 2 0 42 62 NW 6 6 5 1 W28 143 W 8 1050 P 05/06-06 27 0 42 60 NW 6 6 5 1 W31 142 W 9 1064 P 05/06-07 27 0 44 55 NW 6 6 5 1 W33 159 W 9 1267 P 05/06-08 27 0 49 48 NW 7 7 4 1 NW36 176 W 9 1471 P 05/06-09 27 0 54 40 W 8 8 4 1 NW38 193 W 10 1674 P 05/06-10 27 0 59 34 W 9 14 4 1 W39 571 W 12 6752 P 05/06-11 27 0 63 30 W 12 16 3 1 W40 949 W 13 11830 P 05/06-12 27 0 67 27 W 13 20 3 1 W41 1327 W 15 16908 P 05/06-13 27 0 69 24 W 14 21 3 1 W39 2549 W 17 41866 F 05/06-14 27 0 70 22 W 15 23 4 1 W37 3770 W 20 66825 G 05/06-15 27 0 71 20 W 16 24 4 1 W36 4991 W 21 91783 G 05/06-16 27 0 71 18 W 16 25 4 1 W36 4772 W 22 89414 G 05/06-17 27 0 71 18 W 16 25 3 1 W37 4553 W 22 87045 G 05/06-18 32 0 69 19 W 16 24 3 1 W38 4334 W 23 84676 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GARRETT PAUL REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110504.RUNNI.01/BOU