FNUS73 KDDC 041607 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR SALT CREEK...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 1107 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0612 CDT ON MAY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST KANSAS BY MIDDAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT, VERY WINDY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION, RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO FALL TO 15 PERCENT OR LESS. THIS HAS PROMPTED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE AREA ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM ELKHART THROUGH GARDEN CITY AND NESS CITY. THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH ALL OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS TONIGHT BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING RELATIVE HUMIDITY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS GENERALLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 96 DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE REGION. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD DEVELOP AGAIN ON FRIDAY AND SUNDAY AS GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DEVELOP. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTH WINDS 29 TO 35 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-5300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-7800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 31 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........24 29 33 39 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 71 77 79 RH..............31 21 17 16 20 FT WIND......S 29 S 30 S 35 S 31 20 FT WIND GUST.40 40 45 40 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 23 S 24 S 28 S 25 WIND GUST..40 40 45 40 HAINES INDEX....6 5 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........44 45 47 52 44 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 64 58 54 51 48 RH..............18 30 42 52 63 74 20 FT WIND......S 23 S 17 S 10 W 5 N 13 N 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 15 15 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 18 S 14 S 8 W 4 N 10 N 11 WIND GUST..30 25 15 15 20 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600-11500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........26 21 13 8 8 8 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 54 62 67 71 72 RH..............79 61 44 36 30 29 20 FT WIND......N 7 N 8 N 12 N 15 N 12 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 20 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 6 N 6 N 10 N 12 N 10 NW 6 WIND GUST.. 10 15 20 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...BURGERT REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110504.SALTC.01/DDC