FNUS73 KFGF 041309 FWSFGF SPOT FORECAST FOR RYDELL NWR...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 809 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT A BREEZY AND WARM START FOR THE BURN. CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY AS THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES THE REGION. WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ARE LIKELY. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDER ARE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE TROUGH BOUNDARY. WHILE SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THINK THE MAJORITY WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL 2 TO 3 PM. FORECASTED RH VALUES REACHING NEAR 40 PERCENT SINCE THERE SHOULD BE SOME DRYING DUE TO MIXING AND PARTIAL SUNSHINE BEFORE THE ONSET OF THE HEAVIER CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS. HOWEVER...THE FORECASTED MID TO LATE AFTERNOON RELATIVELY DRY RH COULD EASILY GET THROWN IF THE BURN SITE IS DIRECTLY IMPACTED BY A SHOWER. ALSO...WINDS MAY BECOME ERRATIC AND GUSTY WITH ANY SHOWERS. THE RH WILL RECOVER THIS EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY BECOMING CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62. MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500-7000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 17 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 30 TO 36 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........63 69 74 79 83 86 89 91 92 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............47 50 53 55 57 58 59 59 59 RH..............50 48 43 41 41 42 42 44 48 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW 20 FT WIND SPD..16 17 17 17 16 15 14 11 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 25 25 25 20 15 15 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44. MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........92 91 87 82 75 67 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 54 49 46 44 42 RH..............50 61 75 85 88 91 20 FT WIND......SW 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65. MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9900-10900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........62 63 65 58 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............41 50 58 62 RH..............94 67 45 37 20 FT WIND......W 5G10 NW 9G15 NW 12G20 NW 11G20 $$ FORECASTER...GROCHOCINSKI REQUESTED BY...DARRIN FRANCO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110504.RYDEL.01/FGF