FNUS73 KGID 041241
FWSGID

SPOT FORECAST FOR KIRWIN  RX...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
741 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL ACCOMPANY CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS WILL
START FROM THE SOUTHEAST THIS MORNING...BUT AS THE DAY PROGRESSES
THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT WILL BRING ABOUT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS
BY THE END OF THE DAY. SURFACE WIND SPEEDS ON THE ORDER OF 15-25
MPH...GUSTING TO NEAR 35 MPH...WILL BE COMMON. AFTERNOON SURFACE
RH VALUES IN THE 20-35% RANGE ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY...WITH THE LOWEST SURFACE RH VALUES RESIDING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 281. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES WOULD PRESENT RED FLAG WARNING
CRITERIA ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...
HOWEVER DRY FUEL STATUS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS REMAINS
NEGATIVE WHICH RESULTS IN NO RED FLAG WARNING ISSUANCE FOR TODAY.
THAT BEING SAID...MAKE NO MISTAKE THE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL
BE CONDUCIVE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH.

PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EAST OF HIGHWAY 14 DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. SURFACE WINDS ON THURSDAY WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST AT
10-20 MPH AS AFTERNOON SURFACE RH VALUES FALL INTO THE 25-35%
RANGE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73 AT 5 PM.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT AT 5 PM.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
                    UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL THIS MORNING INCREASING 8200 FT AGL
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43 AT 7 AM.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT AT 7 AM.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL EARLY THIS EVENING DECREASING TO 300
                    FT AGL BY MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70 AT 5 PM.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT AT 5 PM.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 10500
                    FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF DUNLAP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110504.KIRWI.01/GID