FNUS75 KGJT 040306
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOS PINOS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
906 PM MDT TUE MAY 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE WYOMING ROCKIES WEDNESDAY MORNING
WILL FORCE A COOL FRONT SOUTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN COLORADO. THE MAIN
LIFT AND MOISTURE LOOK TO BE LIMITED TO NORTHERN COLORADO SO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES AREA EXPECTED NEAR THE BURN SITE. THE FRONT SHOULD BE
NEAR OR JUST THROUGH THE BURN SITE NEAR THE PROPOSED IGNITION TIME
WITH WESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT. THESE WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO ABOUT 35 MPH UP AT THE MIXING HEIGHT OF 15000 FT MST
LEADING TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL. DRY AIR AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING
IN BEHIND THE FRONT WILL QUICKLY COOL THE ATMOSPHERE AND A MODERATE
INVERSION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 5 DEGREES
WARMER ON THURSDAY THOUGH LIGHTER WESTERN WINDS ARE EXPECTED AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN ALOFT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWN VALLEY 3-6 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    BECOMING WEST AT 5 TO 10 BY LATE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1000 AM MDT...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...PMEDINA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110504.LOSPI.01/GJT