FNUS75 KGJT 040405
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR OHIO CITY   PITKIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1005 PM MDT TUE MAY 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN HALF OF
COLORADO EARLY THIS MORNING AND THE TAIL END OF THE FRONT WILL PASS
OVER THE BURN SITE BETWEEN ABOUT 1000 AND NOON. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD
INCREASE FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE MORNING, THEN SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE, AND MAY ACTUALLY BECOMING NORTHEAST
AND DOWNVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS ALOFT AND TRANSPORT WINDS
SHOULD BE WEST TO NORTHWEST AND FAIRLY STRONG, WITH A HIGH MIXING
HEIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    LATE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 14 MPH GUSTING
                    TO 20 MPH BY 1100, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH GUSTING TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (23500 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0900, THEN FAIR.
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT ABOUT 1100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700-8400 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR ABOUT 2200.

.THURSDAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THE FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY 1300.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...MIFMU
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110504.OHIOC.01/GJT