FNUS72 KJAX 041752
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONNER FIRE  13...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
152 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1328 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA TODAY WILL PRODUCE
LOW RH'S AND STRONG WINDS OVER THE SUWANNEE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
RH'S WILL REMAIN NEAR CRITICAL VALUES OVER INLAND AREAS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. WINDS WILL BE 15 TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...AND LESS THAN
15 MPH THE NEXT FEW DAYS EXCEPT NEAR THE EAST COAST WHERE GUSTS TO 20
MPH ARE POSSIBLE.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........0      25     25     26     21     21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............81     73     66     62     59     56
RH..............41     50     62     68     73     80
20 FT WIND......N 8    N 7    N 6    N 6    N 5    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   1200   1200   800    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14   N 12   N 10   N 10   N 7    N 7
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........21     15     15     15     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     57     70     78     82     82
RH..............85     76     48     37     33     34
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 3    NE 6   NE 9   NE 12  E 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      10     15     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....700    1100   1100   3300   5400   5400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10   NE 15  NE 15  NE 15  E 14   E 14
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...ZIBURA
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110504.CONNE.01/JAX