FNUS76 KLOX 050504
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR VALLEY...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1004 PM PDT WED MAY 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST BENEATH A WEAKENING
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA THURSDAY. OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE OVER THE BURN AREA AS AN ONSHORE
FLOW ESTABLISHES ACROSS THE AREA BY LATE FRIDAY. A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND BRINGING A DEEP
MARINE LAYER INTO THE BURN AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW PATTERN COULD DEVELOP FOR MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-97 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST TO EAST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1300
    HOURS BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15
    MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS IN THE MORNING...
    LIFTING TO 8000 FT AGL BY 1300 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1300 HOURS...
    THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO
    10 TO 15 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1200 HOURS
    BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH WITH
    GUSTS TO 18 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-54 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
    UP TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2200 HOURS...BECOMING
    NORTHWEST TO NORTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL EARLY...DESCEINDING TO 500 FT AGL
    OR LESS AFTER 2300 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2300 HOURS...
    BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH
    UNTIL 2100 HOURS BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHEAST.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...DREW SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110504.VALLE.01/LOX

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