FNUS72 KMFL 041328 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR JARHEAD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 928 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. SPOT FORECAST FOR JARHEAD...NPS BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 927 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE WIND AT THE FIRE SITE THIS MORNING WILL LIGHT EASTERLY AT 5 MPH OR LESS. A SEA BREEZE WILL SET UP ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST AROUND NOON OR SHORTLY AFTER AND THEN PUSH INLAND. THE EASTERLY FLOW IS WEAKER THIS MORNING THAN THE PREVIOUS FEW DAYS DUE TO A RELAXED GRADIENT. THIS WILL ENABLE THE SEA BREEZE TO PUSH INLAND FARTHER AND QUICKER THAN YESTERDAY. BASED ON THIS FORECAST, IT COULD REACH THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FIRE BY AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND REACH THE EASTERN PORTIONS BY 5 PM OR MAYBE EVEN 4 PM DEPENDING ON THE SPEED OF THE BOUNDARY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY SMOKE IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 44. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM SKY (%).........50 50 50 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW TEMP............73 81 86 89 92 94 94 92 90 88 84 81 RH..............83 63 55 46 41 36 37 37 41 45 51 64 20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE NE NE NE NE NE W W W E 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 6 6 6 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E NE NE NE NE NE NE W W W E EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 6 6 6 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 2.4 MIXNG WIND DIR..E E NE NE NE NE NE NE W W W E MIXNG WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 9 9 9 6 DISPERSION IDX..13 13 22 22 22 23 23 23 44 44 44 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL EARLY MORNING. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 65. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5. LVORI...............9. $$ FORECASTER...BRABANDER REQUESTED BY...JILL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE $$ REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN TURNBO REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE