FNUS75 KPUB 051128
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND GULCH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
528 AM MDT THU MAY 5 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET WEATHER WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL PICK UP ON FRIDAY FROM THE WEST.  MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL
BE QUITE LOW ON FRIDAY AND THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SUSTAINED
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. THUS THERE
WILL BE A CONCERN FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AT LEAST FOR
A COUPLE OR A FEW HOURS.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK...
WINDS MAY NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG ON SATURDAY BUT HUMIDITIES WILL STILL
BE VERY LOW.  SUNDAY AND MONDAY IT WILL LIKELY BE WINDY FROM THE WEST
OR SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS OF 30-35 MPH AND HUMIDITIES WILL AGAIN
BE LOW.  THUS CRITICAL WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.  THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...BUT THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE
FOR WETTING PRECIPITATION.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1300 THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. FAIR AFTER 0900...VERY GOOD BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38F.
MAX HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN VARIABLE 3-5
                    MPH UNTIL 0300 THEN WEST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 28
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200 THEN WEST AROUND 20 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 25-30.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 14500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. FAIR BY 0900 THEN EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110504.SANDG.02/PUB