FNUS73 KUNR 042130
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK RUN RX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
330 PM MDT WED MAY 4 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...MILD AND DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH
LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES. WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY DURING THE
DAY...INCREASING A LITTLE BIT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. GOOD MIXING HEIGHTS
BY LATE MORNING WILL RESULT IN EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL FROM LATE
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT 5/5/11

FOR TONIGHT
   SKY / WEATHER.......ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY...OTHERWISE
                       BECOMING CLEAR.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34-36
   RH..................MAX 70-75%
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
   CWR.................0%
   LAL.................1
   HAINES INDEX........2
   MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AFTER SUNSET
   MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
   SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR AFTER SUNSET

FOR TOMORROW
   SKY / WEATHER.......MOSTLY SUNNY
   TEMPERATURE.........60-62...MAX 65-67
   RH..................30-33...MIN 23-26%
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 8
                       TO 15 MPH AROUND NOON.
   CWR.................0%
   LAL.................1
   HAINES INDEX........3
   MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FEET...INCREASING TO 7000-8000
                       FEET LATE IN THE MORNING.
   MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH
   SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EARLY...BECOMING EXCELLENT LATE IN THE
                       MORNING.

FOR THURSDAY NIGHT
   SKY / WEATHER.......MOSTLY CLEAR
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40-42
   RH..................MAX 65-70%
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 15
                       MPH POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.
   CWR.................0%
   LAL.................1
   HAINES INDEX........2
   MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AFTER SUNSET
   MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH
   SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR AFTER SUNSET

FORECASTER...ST

$$

REQUESTED BY...JAY WICKHAM
REASON FOR REQUEST...STATE, TRIBAL OR LOCAL FIRE AGENCY WORKING IN COORDINATION WITH A
FEDERAL PARTICIPANT IN THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES.