FNUS75 KBOU 042257 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DELANY BUTTES RX...BLM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 457 PM MDT WED MAY 4 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING OVER THE STATE WITH MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER COLORADO...UTAH AND WYOMING IN THE MORNING WILL TRANSITION TO A LOW PRESSURE AREA BY EVENING. WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR THE MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TO MIX TO THE SURFACE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS WILL BE DRY AND STABLE. STRONGER WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2200...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-24. MAX HUMIDITY........76-82%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-62. MIN HUMIDITY........20-26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN INCREASING TO 10-16 MPH. GUSTS OF 18-26 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. RISING TO 7400-8400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. BECOMING EXCELLENT AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-32. MAX HUMIDITY........74-82%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-64. MIN HUMIDITY........28-36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 41-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8600-9200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DELAN BUTTESRX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/04-16 65 20 4 43 40 W13 20 2 1 W35 9446 W23 185558 E 05/04-17 65 20 4 42 42 W10 16 2 1 NW38 9126 W22 174053 E 05/04-18 52 6 1 40 46 W 8 13 2 1 NW39 8807 W21 162549 E 05/04-19 52 6 1 39 50 W 6 6 2 1 NW37 7584 W21 137637 V 05/04-20 52 6 1 36 56 SW 5 5 2 1 NW33 6362 W21 112725 V 05/04-21 52 6 1 33 63 SW 3 3 2 1 NW32 5140 W20 87812 G 05/04-22 16 0 0 30 67 SW 3 3 2 1 NW36 3537 W16 59489 F 05/04-23 16 0 0 29 70 W 5 5 2 1 NW40 1935 W13 31166 P 05/05-00 16 0 0 28 72 W 6 6 2 1 NW45 332 W10 2842 P 05/05-01 16 0 0 26 75 W 6 6 2 1 NW46 309 W 9 2558 P 05/05-02 8 0 0 25 78 W 6 6 2 1 NW46 286 W 9 2274 P 05/05-03 8 0 0 24 79 W 6 6 2 1 NW46 263 W 9 1990 P 05/05-04 8 0 0 24 76 W 6 6 2 1 NW48 283 W 8 2084 P 05/05-05 8 0 0 24 71 W 5 5 2 1 N51 304 W 8 2178 P 05/05-06 0 0 0 24 68 W 5 5 2 1 N51 325 W 8 2272 P 05/05-07 0 0 0 27 65 W 3 3 2 1 N47 1620 W 9 16217 P 05/05-08 0 0 0 31 58 W 3 3 3 1 NW43 2916 NW10 30162 P 05/05-09 0 0 0 37 50 W 3 3 3 1 NW37 4212 NW12 44107 F 05/05-10 0 0 0 42 41 SW 5 5 3 1 NW35 4897 NW13 56173 F 05/05-11 0 0 0 47 34 SW 7 7 4 1 NW33 5581 W14 68240 G 05/05-12 0 0 0 50 29 SW 8 13 4 1 NW32 6266 W15 80307 G 05/05-13 0 0 0 52 27 SW 9 15 4 1 NW31 7188 W17 110928 V 05/05-14 0 0 0 54 25 SW 9 16 4 1 W31 8109 W20 141549 V 05/05-15 0 0 0 55 24 SW10 16 4 1 W32 9031 W22 172170 E 05/05-16 0 0 0 55 24 SW12 18 4 1 W32 8041 W23 159128 E 05/05-17 0 0 0 54 25 SW13 20 3 1 NW33 7051 W24 146085 V 05/05-18 0 0 0 52 28 SW13 21 3 1 NW33 6061 W25 133042 V 05/05-19 0 0 0 50 31 SW13 20 3 1 NW35 4565 W24 98648 G 05/05-20 0 0 0 46 38 SW12 18 3 1 W36 3068 W23 64254 G 05/05-21 0 0 0 42 47 SW10 16 3 1 W38 1572 W22 29860 P 05/05-22 0 0 0 39 53 SW 9 16 3 1 W40 1126 SW18 20734 P 05/05-23 0 0 0 37 58 SW 9 15 4 1 W43 678 SW15 11573 P 05/06-00 16 0 0 35 62 SW 9 15 4 1 W46 230 SW12 2412 P 05/06-01 16 0 0 33 67 SW 9 15 4 1 W51 199 SW12 2064 P 05/06-02 16 0 0 32 71 SW10 16 3 1 W54 169 SW12 1715 P 05/06-03 16 0 0 30 75 SW10 16 3 1 W56 138 SW12 1367 P 05/06-04 16 0 0 30 77 SW10 17 3 1 W55 137 SW12 1397 P 05/06-05 16 0 0 30 77 SW12 17 3 1 W53 136 SW13 1427 P 05/06-06 31 0 0 30 76 SW12 18 3 1 W51 134 SW13 1457 P 05/06-07 31 0 0 32 70 SW13 20 3 1 W51 1625 SW21 49957 F 05/06-08 31 0 0 37 60 W14 22 2 1 W53 3115 W29 98456 G 05/06-09 31 0 0 42 50 W15 24 2 1 W55 4606 W37 146956 V 05/06-10 31 0 0 47 42 W16 25 2 1 W58 5937 W39 206343 E 05/06-11 31 0 0 52 37 W17 26 2 1 W61 7269 W41 265731 E 05/06-12 52 0 0 55 33 W17 28 2 1 W63 8601 W44 325118 E 05/06-13 52 0 0 57 32 W17 28 2 1 W66 8804 W45 344833 E 05/06-14 52 0 0 58 31 W17 28 2 1 W68 9006 W46 364547 E 05/06-15 52 0 0 59 30 W17 28 2 1 W68 9209 W48 384262 E 05/06-16 52 0 0 60 30 W17 28 2 1 W68 8978 W47 364949 E 05/06-17 52 0 0 59 31 W17 26 2 1 W67 8748 W45 345635 E 05/06-18 40 0 0 57 33 W16 25 2 1 W64 8518 W44 326322 E 05/06-19 40 0 0 55 36 W15 24 2 1 W62 7470 W43 280886 E 05/06-20 40 0 0 51 41 W14 22 2 1 W59 6423 W41 235450 E 05/06-21 40 0 0 47 46 W13 21 2 1 W56 5375 W40 190014 E 05/06-22 40 0 0 44 50 W14 22 2 1 W54 4621 W39 160293 E 05/06-23 40 0 0 42 54 W15 24 2 1 W52 3868 W38 130572 V 05/07-00 29 0 0 40 57 W16 25 2 1 W49 3114 W37 100851 V 05/07-01 29 0 0 39 61 W15 25 2 1 W47 2570 W33 78342 G 05/07-02 29 0 0 37 65 W14 23 2 1 W45 2026 W30 55834 F 05/07-03 29 0 0 36 68 W13 21 2 1 W43 1481 W25 33325 P 05/07-04 29 0 0 36 71 W10 17 2 1 W40 1148 W23 24521 P 05/07-05 29 0 0 36 72 SW 9 15 2 1 W39 815 W20 15718 P 05/07-06 32 0 0 36 74 SW 9 15 2 1 W40 482 W16 6914 P 05/07-07 32 0 0 38 69 SW12 18 2 1 W46 2108 W24 64514 G 05/07-08 32 0 0 42 60 W15 23 2 1 W52 3735 W31 122113 V 05/07-09 32 0 0 48 50 W17 28 2 1 W58 5362 W39 179713 E 05/07-10 32 0 0 53 43 W18 30 2 1 W58 6718 W41 246194 E 05/07-11 32 0 0 57 37 W20 31 2 1 W58 8074 W44 312675 E 05/07-12 32 0 0 60 34 W20 31 2 1 W56 9431 W46 379156 E 05/07-13 32 0 0 62 31 W21 32 2 1 W55 9960 W47 409290 E 05/07-14 32 0 0 63 30 W21 33 2 1 W56 10489 W48 439424 E 05/07-15 32 0 0 64 28 W21 33 2 1 W58 11019 W49 469558 E 05/07-16 32 0 0 65 27 W20 31 2 1 W60 10663 W47 436588 E 05/07-17 32 0 0 64 28 W17 28 2 1 W63 10308 W45 403618 E 05/07-18 42 0 0 62 29 W15 24 2 1 W67 9953 W43 370648 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110505.DELAN.01/BOU