FNUS75 KBOU 050237 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GAURA RX...NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 832 PM MDT WED MAY 4 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING OVER THE STATE WITH MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER COLORADO...UTAH AND WYOMING IN THE MORNING WILL TRANSITION TO A LOW PRESSURE AREA BY EVENING. GENERALLY LIGHT WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL PREVAIL AT THIS SITE...WHILE WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR MORE MIXING AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS WILL BE DRY AND STABLE. STRONGER WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31. MAX HUMIDITY........81%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 8800-9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 7200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....36. MAX HUMIDITY........77%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 18-28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 36-44 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7600-8600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GAURA RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/04-20 47 10 2 44 49 N 8 8 3 1 W26 5292 NW13 70695 G 05/04-21 47 10 2 40 59 N 6 6 3 1 W29 2689 NW10 23782 P 05/04-22 47 10 2 36 70 N 6 6 3 1 W33 1904 NW10 16846 P 05/04-23 47 10 2 35 74 NW 8 8 3 1 W38 1119 NW10 9911 P 05/05-00 28 1 0 34 77 NW 9 14 3 1 W41 334 NW10 2975 P 05/05-01 28 1 0 33 80 NW 8 8 3 1 NW41 306 NW 9 2594 P 05/05-02 8 1 0 33 81 NW 7 7 2 1 NW40 278 NW 9 2213 P 05/05-03 8 0 0 33 80 NW 6 6 2 1 NW40 249 NW 8 1831 P 05/05-04 8 0 0 32 78 NW 7 7 2 1 NW43 227 NW 9 1867 P 05/05-05 8 0 0 32 76 NW 8 8 2 1 NW45 205 NW10 1902 P 05/05-06 1 0 0 31 77 NW 9 14 2 1 NW47 184 NW13 1937 P 05/05-07 1 0 0 35 65 NW10 15 2 1 NW47 2530 NW17 59018 F 05/05-08 1 0 0 44 46 W12 16 3 1 NW46 4877 NW23 116099 V 05/05-09 1 0 0 50 37 W12 17 3 1 NW44 7224 NW28 173179 E 05/05-10 1 0 0 53 31 W12 17 3 1 NW40 7678 NW23 151324 E 05/05-11 1 0 0 55 26 W10 16 2 1 NW36 8132 NW18 129469 V 05/05-12 0 0 0 59 21 W10 16 2 1 NW33 8585 NW15 107613 V 05/05-13 0 0 0 60 20 W10 16 2 1 NW32 9104 W16 123924 V 05/05-14 0 0 0 61 19 W12 17 2 1 NW33 9623 W16 140236 V 05/05-15 0 0 0 63 18 W13 20 2 1 W35 10142 W17 156547 E 05/05-16 0 0 0 63 18 SW14 21 2 1 W36 8684 W18 136713 V 05/05-17 0 0 0 61 21 SW14 22 2 1 W37 7225 W18 116878 V 05/05-18 0 0 0 59 24 SW14 21 2 1 W38 5767 W20 97044 G 05/05-19 0 0 0 54 31 SW12 17 2 1 W38 3928 W15 65233 G 05/05-20 0 0 0 48 42 W 8 8 3 1 W38 2089 W12 33423 P 05/05-21 0 0 0 48 48 W 5 5 3 1 W37 250 W 7 1612 P 05/05-22 0 0 0 45 53 W 5 5 3 1 NW31 273 W 8 1884 P 05/05-23 0 0 0 43 58 W 7 7 4 1 W33 241 W 9 1798 P 05/06-00 16 0 0 42 61 W 8 13 4 1 W36 209 W 9 1711 P 05/06-01 16 0 0 40 65 W 9 15 4 1 W39 180 W10 1630 P 05/06-02 16 0 0 39 71 W10 17 5 1 W43 151 W13 1549 P 05/06-03 16 0 0 38 73 W12 18 5 1 W45 122 W14 1467 P 05/06-04 16 0 0 37 76 W13 20 5 1 W48 118 W15 1503 P 05/06-05 16 0 0 37 77 W13 21 4 1 W51 115 W15 1538 P 05/06-06 17 0 0 38 76 W14 22 4 1 W52 111 W16 1574 P 05/06-07 17 0 0 40 72 W15 24 4 1 W52 143 W18 2377 P 05/06-08 17 0 0 44 63 W16 26 3 1 W51 175 W21 3180 P 05/06-09 17 0 0 49 55 W18 30 3 1 W48 207 W22 3983 P 05/06-10 17 0 0 54 47 W22 35 3 1 W47 2310 W29 82936 G 05/06-11 17 0 0 58 42 W24 39 2 1 W46 4413 W36 161889 E 05/06-12 27 0 0 61 39 W26 43 2 1 W47 6516 W43 240843 E 05/06-13 27 0 0 63 36 W26 41 2 1 W51 7405 W43 276571 E 05/06-14 27 0 0 64 34 W24 39 2 1 W55 8294 W44 312299 E 05/06-15 27 0 0 65 32 W22 35 2 1 W60 9183 W44 348027 E 05/06-16 27 0 0 65 32 W20 31 2 1 W62 8551 W39 296301 E 05/06-17 27 0 0 64 32 W17 28 2 1 W63 7919 W35 244574 E 05/06-18 27 0 0 63 34 NW15 24 2 1 W63 7287 W30 192847 E 05/06-19 27 0 0 60 38 NW13 20 2 1 W61 5309 W26 136083 V 05/06-20 27 0 0 56 46 NW 9 15 2 1 W58 3331 W23 79319 G 05/06-21 27 0 0 52 56 NW 8 13 2 1 W54 1353 W20 22554 P 05/06-22 27 0 0 49 64 NW 8 14 2 1 W52 1008 W18 16555 P 05/06-23 27 0 0 47 72 NW10 16 2 1 W48 664 W17 10556 P 05/07-00 32 0 0 45 78 W12 18 2 1 W46 319 W16 4558 P 05/07-01 32 0 0 43 83 W12 20 2 1 W45 298 W16 4216 P 05/07-02 32 0 0 42 87 W12 20 2 1 W45 277 W16 3874 P 05/07-03 32 0 0 40 89 W12 18 2 1 W45 256 W16 3532 P 05/07-04 32 0 0 40 88 W10 17 2 1 W45 262 W15 3363 P 05/07-05 32 0 0 40 86 W10 16 2 1 W45 269 W14 3193 P 05/07-06 16 0 0 40 84 NW 9 15 2 1 W45 275 W13 3024 P 05/07-07 16 0 0 42 78 W 9 14 2 1 W46 1072 W15 18187 P 05/07-08 16 0 0 46 67 W 9 14 2 1 W48 1869 W18 33351 P 05/07-09 16 0 0 51 57 W 9 15 2 1 W49 2666 W21 48514 F 05/07-10 16 0 0 56 48 W10 16 2 1 W49 4567 W23 99949 G 05/07-11 16 0 0 60 43 W12 20 2 1 W49 6469 W25 151385 E 05/07-12 16 0 0 64 38 W14 22 2 1 W48 8371 W28 202820 E 05/07-13 16 0 0 65 36 W15 25 2 1 W45 8622 W29 220396 E 05/07-14 16 0 0 67 34 W17 28 2 1 W43 8873 W31 237972 E 05/07-15 16 0 0 68 33 W18 30 2 1 W41 9124 W32 255547 E 05/07-16 16 0 0 68 32 W20 31 2 1 W43 8387 W36 253585 E 05/07-17 16 0 0 67 33 W20 32 2 1 W45 7651 W38 251623 E 05/07-18 53 0 0 65 35 W20 31 2 1 W48 6914 W41 249660 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ERICK STAHLIN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110505.GAURA.01/BOU