FNUS75 KGJT 051406 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR CHIMNEY ROCK RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 806 AM MDT THU MAY 5 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0750 MDT ON MAY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION...LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGING IN PLACE ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN REGION WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE BUILDING FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. MIXING WILL IMPROVE LATE THIS MORNING WITH ANY LOW LEVEL INVERSION IN PLACE MIXING BETWEEN 1000 AND 1100...BUT HEIGHTS WILL ONLY APPROACH 8500FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN WITH TYPICAL UPSLOPE/DOWNSLOPE DOMINATING THE DAY/NIGHT PERIODS...THOUGH UPSLOPE GUSTS APPROACHING 20 MPH WILL BE LIKELY AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. AS RIDGING BUILDS FRIDAY GRADIENT WINDS WILL BEGIN AN INCREASING TREND LASTING INTO AND THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68 F. MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6000-54800 KNOT-FT). MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F. MAX HUMIDITY........26-31%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. NORTHERLY DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 7 MPH HOLDS AFTER MIDNIGHT SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8300-10700 KNOT-FT). MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MERRILL REQUESTED BY...FUELS TECH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110505.CHIMN.02/GJT