FNUS75 KGJT 051502
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ONE MILE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
902 AM MDT THU MAY 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGING DOMINATES THE INTERMOUNTAIN
ROCKY STATES TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. RIDGING WILL BUILD FRIDAY AND
GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A PACIFIC TROUGH
APPROACHES THE GREAT BASIN. FOR TODAY/TONIGHT WINDS WILL BE
PRIMARILY DRIVEN BY DIURNAL SLOPE FLOWS...THOUGH INCREASED MIXING
THIS AFTERNOON WILL ALLOW FOR A SLIGHT ENHANCEMENT OF SOUTHWEST
UPSLOPE WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE UPPER ELEVATIONS.
TRANSPORT WIND TRENDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY FRIDAY
AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH THROUGH 1100...SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH AFTER 1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 INCREASING TO GOOD. VERY GOOD
                    AFTER 1300
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100 THEN POOR


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AFTER 1100...THEN INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH ACROSS THE UPPER
                    ELEVATIONS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1100 INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 2000 FT AGL THROUGH 1030... INCREASING TO
                    10500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 MPH INCREASING TO 38 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MERRILL
REQUESTED BY...J CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110505.ONEMI.03/GJT