FNUS75 KGJT 050257
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST ELK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
857 PM MDT WED MAY 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THURSDAY. SURFACE-BASED
INVERSIONS WILL BEGIN TO LIFT AROUND 1000 THURSDAY WITH MIXING
HEIGHTS RISING TO AROUND 16,000 FEET MSL IN THE AFTERNOON.
GRADIENT WINDS INCREASE ON FRIDAY AS A WARMING TREND CONTINUES.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST...AND INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1030...THEN IMPROVING TO VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0930...THEN IMPROVING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0930...THEN INCREASING TO
                    10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 MPH INCREASING TO 35 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...PMEDINA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110505.WESTE.01/GJT