FNUS73 KLOT 051834 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR BLODGETT RX UPDATE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 134 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1340 CDT ON MAY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ONLY ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT YOUR AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ANY PRECIP WOULD BE LIGHT AND OF SHORT DURATION. NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN AND POSSIBLY SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON (AFTER 4 PM) AND THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 29 MPH BECOMING WEST 13 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO VERY GOOD (2900-121200 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........99 97 95 92 90 88 86 79 71 64 57 49 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............61 59 57 55 53 52 50 49 47 46 46 46 RH..............56 62 69 77 83 86 89 89 93 93 93 93 20FT WIND DIR...210 210 220 220 230 230 240 240 260 260 270 280 20FT SPEED(MPH).10 8 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 20FT SPEED(KT)..8 7 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 20FT GUST(MPH)..21 17 14 12 12 12 12 10 9 8 7 7 20FT GUST(KT)...18 15 12 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 6 6 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.8 3.5 2.1 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.210 210 220 220 220 230 240 240 260 260 270 270 TRANSP WIND SPD.29 25 22 18 17 17 17 16 15 14 13 13 CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 20 20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 VRATE KT-FT/1000121 88 45 10 4 10 17 13 7 3 3 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69. RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1700-2100 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10100-10500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10900-11200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 8700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (5900-255200 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........41 39 37 34 32 30 27 29 31 32 34 35 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 49 53 56 59 62 65 67 68 68 68 67 RH..............89 83 74 66 57 50 43 39 37 37 37 40 20FT WIND DIR...280 280 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 280 20FT SPEED(MPH).5 5 6 6 7 8 9 8 8 7 6 5 20FT SPEED(KT)..4 4 5 6 6 7 8 7 7 6 6 4 20FT GUST(MPH)..8 10 13 15 16 17 17 17 16 15 14 12 20FT GUST(KT)...7 9 11 13 14 15 15 15 14 13 12 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.2 1.7 2.1 4.8 7.5 10 11 11 11 10 8.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.280 280 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 280 TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 18 21 24 25 26 26 25 22 20 16 CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 VRATE KT-FT/10009 6 10 33 99 178 238 255 246 217 179 130 $$ FORECASTER...BIRK REQUESTED BY...JEFF MARTINA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110505.BLODG.02/LOT