FNUS76 KMFR 042351
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOBAR 2 39...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
451 PM PDT WED MAY 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION... THE SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH WILL BE MOVING INLAND
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF THE BURN
AREA AND NEAR THE FOOTHILLS OF THE CASCADES ON THURSDAY. AS A
RESULT TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MAINLY OUT OF THE WEST TO
NORTHWEST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 5 DEGREES COOLER THAN ON
WEDNESDAY BUT WITH SIMILAR AFTERNOON HUMIDITY. WESTERLY JET WILL
BRING PACIFIC MOISTURE INTO SOUTHERN OREGON WITH CLOUDS ARRIVING
AT THE BURN SITE AS EARLY AS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. SLIGHTLY COOLER
AIR WITH HIGH HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH TRANSPORT WINDS
STILL COMING OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST. RAIN CHANCE INCREASES
THIS WEEKEND WITH UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

.TODAY (THURSDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH AT 1000...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH AFTER 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO
                    5500 FT AGL IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST (300 DEGREES) 10 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR THROUGH LATE EVENING THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 4 TO 7 MPH UNTIL 2000...DECREASING
                    TO 1 TO 2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO UNDER 1000 FT AGL
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT UNDER AN INVERSION.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST (310 DEGREES) 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT
                    NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH OCCASIONAL BREAKS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO NORTHWEST (280 DEGREES) 8 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...MIKE APPLING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110505.BOBAR.01/MFR