FNUS73 KABR 062109 AAA
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR ATR OUTCROP...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
409 PM CDT FRI MAY 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
WILL STALL NEAR THE BURN AREA TONIGHT. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND MIDNIGHT. ISOLATED LIGHT
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY...BEFORE INCREASING TO MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY ONCE
AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT CLOUD). A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 0500. LIGHT
                    AFTER 0600. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 16 TO 24 MPH UNTIL 0100...THEN SOUTH
                    8 TO 13 MPH UNTIL 0400...THEN WEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....2000-4600.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........77     74     76     78     74     69
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............68     61     54     51     48     47
RH..............31     48     62     69     77     84
20 FT WIND......S 9    SE 8   SE 7   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT CLOUD). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 5700-6500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....22800-37600 UNTIL 1300...THEN 85400-89200.
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................2.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........65     58     49     42     45     50
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............47     53     59     64     67     68
RH..............87     76     63     52     45     44
20 FT WIND......S 4    S 4    S 3    S 4    S 4    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...CHURCH
REQUESTED BY...DAN ANGELO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110506.ATROU.01/ABR