FNUS71 KCTP 060919 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR STITZER GAP...PA NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 519 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... PARTLY SUNNY SKIES THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS... AND A CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL PERSIST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH A FEW BRIEF SHOWERS POSSIBLE. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS WILL MIX OUT AROUND 15-18Z. GUSTS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 20-30 MPH AND WILL DECLINE SHORTLY AFTER 00Z. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8600-9100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............29 38 45 60 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................52 56 60 60 RH..................51 44 40 42 20 FT WIND..........SW 8 SW 12 SW 13 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........6900 8300 9000 8600 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 17 SW 21 SW 21 SW 17 LAL.................1 1 4 4 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 2000...THEN NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............65 82 86 84 75 72 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP................59 55 52 50 49 47 RH..................46 49 58 65 69 73 20 FT WIND..........SW 10 SW 8 W 6 W 3 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........7000 3000 1200 600 700 600 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 15 SW 12 W 15 W 14 W 9 W 12 LAL.................4 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 7 TO 12 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6300-7100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............67 57 44 40 47 45 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................44 47 52 56 60 64 RH..................82 73 62 53 46 40 20 FT WIND..........W 3 W 5 W 9 W 12 W 12 W 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........1400 3000 4900 6300 6800 7000 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 14 NW 17 NW 21 NW 21 NW 20 NW 21 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110506.STITZ.02/CTP