FNUS72 KJAX 061142
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HONEY PRAIRIE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
742 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO HIGHER MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TODAY AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT. THIS FEATURE WILL
BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FIRE LOCATION
TODAY AS IT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED
FROM THIS FEATURE BUT SHIFTING WINDS COULD BE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROPPING BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE THIS MORNING.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3900 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........81     81     79     66     66
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............63     71     75     77     78
RH..............82     63     54     50     48
20 FT WIND......SE 0   S 3    SW 7   W 9    W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   1200   2600   3900   3900
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    S 8    S 8    SW 9   SW 9

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN EVENING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
                    BEFORE SUNSET...THEN CLEARING SKIES WITH PATCHY LATE
                    NIGHT FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........25     14     14     14     8      8
WEATHER COV.....S CHC                       PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP............75     68     63     60     58     55
RH..............51     61     71     76     79     85
20 FT WIND......W 8    W 6    W 5    NW 2   NW 1   NW 0
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   2700   2700   1500   200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8   W 8    W 8    NW 9   N 10   N 10

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-5600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
DISPERSION INDEX....19.

$$
FORECASTER...HESS
REQUESTED BY...TERRI JENKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110506.HONEY.01/JAX