FNUS72 KMLB 062252
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAY ANGELS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
652 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1824 EDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO PASS THROUGH
CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS EVENING MOVING THROUGH THE BURN AREA BY LATE
EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY WITH MUCH DRIER AIR FILTERING DOWN THE PENINSULA. PRESENT
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY VEER TO THE WEST AND
EVENTUALLY NORTHWEST LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE
BOUNDARY. ONLY A SMALL THREAT REMAINS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS FOR AN
ISOLATED SHOWER OR LIGHTNING STORM. NOT ANTICIPATING ANY VISIBILITY ISSUES
FOR OVERNIGHT. AS PREVIOUSLY STATED...MUCH DRIER AIR WILL FOLLOW BEHIND
THE BOUNDARY FOR SATURDAY. SURFACE/20 FOOT WINDS WILL VEER NORTH/NORTHEAST
AND BE LIGHT/MODERATE ON SATURDAY BUT TIMING OF ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE KEY
TO ACTUALLY HOW FAR RH VALUES WILL DROP BEFORE MODERATING. DISPERSIONS WILL
BE FAIRLY LOW...ESPECIALLY FURTHER INLAND FROM THE WILDFIRE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH BECOMING WEST AND
                    EVENTUALLY NORTHWEST DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......LESS THAN 20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST DURING THE
                    MID TO LATE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  TSM TSM
TEMP............75  74  73  72  72  71  70  69  69  68  67  67
RH..............75  79  80  82  84  84  84  83  83  83  84  86
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..10  13  13  12  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.    15  15          10  10  10

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1700 FT AGL IN THE EARLY MORNING INCREASING TO
                    4000-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110506.JAYAN.02/MLB