FNUS73 KMPX 061253
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BROBERG...FWS LITCHFIELD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
753 AM CDT FRI MAY 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WAS CENTERED ACROSS MINNESOTA
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST. AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA. THE WINDS NEAR THE BURN
SITE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
THE DIRECTION MAY BE VARIABLE UP TO IGNITION TIME...THEN SETTLE IN
FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST. AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE IN FAR WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA AFTER 4 PM DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT SOUTH SOUTHEAST WINDS
                    AT 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (1300-44100) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (60400-75300) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300-8700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....                                    CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                                    RW
TEMP............57  60  63  66  67  68  69  68  67  66
RH..............42  37  32  28  25  23  22  24  26  28
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S   S   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   5   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.5       10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (31000-69300) DECREASING TO
                    POOR (2600-6500) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 14 TO 18 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7600-40800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-6700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6 TO
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...FRIEDLEIN
REQUESTED BY...KRIS LARSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110506.BROBE.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY