FNUS73 KMPX 061244
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR D-29-1...CAMP RIPLEY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
744 AM CDT FRI MAY 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WAS CENTERED ACROSS MINNESOTA
EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA. MOST AREA WILL REMAIN
DRY TODAY. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE AROUND LADYSMITH
BY THE AFTERNOON...AND IN FAR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AFTER 4 PM DUE
TO WEAK INSTABILITY.

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA OVERNIGHT AND
INCREASE THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (400-45000) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (43900-55000) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-9800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............51     58     62     65     66     64
RH..............56     45     38     30     30     34
20 FT WIND......SW 1   S 3    S 5    S 5    S 5    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2200-40200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 14 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4000-45200) INCREASING TO FAIR TO
                    GOOD (25300-57300) LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-5900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MCQUIRTER
REQUESTED BY...MATT GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110506.D291_.01/MPX