FNUS73 KMPX 061056
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOSE CREEK SE  2...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
556 AM CDT FRI MAY 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WAS CENTERED ACROSS MINNESOTA
EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA. MOST AREA WILL REMAIN
DRY TODAY. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE AROUND LADYSMITH
BY THE AFTERNOON...AND IN FAR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AFTER 4 PM DUE
TO WEAK INSTABILITY.

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA OVERNIGHT AND
INCREASE THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2200-46200) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (64600-92700) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8300-9700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     58     63     67     70     68
RH..............58     36     29     24     21     23
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 6    W 8    SW 9   SW 8   S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      6      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (33100-66700) DECREASING TO
                    POOR (3500-6200) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 23
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...MCQUIRTER
REQUESTED BY...ERIC EARHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110506.GOOSE.02/MPX