FNUS73 KMPX 061125
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PFS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
625 AM CDT FRI MAY 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WAS CENTERED ACROSS MINNESOTA
EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA. MOST AREA WILL REMAIN
DRY TODAY. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE AROUND LADYSMITH
BY THE AFTERNOON...AND IN FAR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AFTER 4 PM DUE
TO WEAK INSTABILITY.

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA OVERNIGHT AND
INCREASE THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1100-43300) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (72900-102000) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (88200-134400) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (45100-65400)
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700-10200 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............50     57     63     66     66     64
RH..............54     40     31     30     30     35
20 FT WIND......W 4    W 5    W 6    W 6    SW 5   S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    7 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2200-44000) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (45600-71100) LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...MCQUIRTER
REQUESTED BY...RX FIRE SPLST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110506.PFS__.01/MPX