FNUS75 KSLC 070341
FWSSLC

SPOT FORECAST FOR SPENCER RANCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
941 PM MDT FRI MAY 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WITH WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT TWO DAYS. WINDS TONIGHT
WILL LIKELY BE GUSTY THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT...AND RELATIVELY
STEADY WEST WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING WITH THE
NATURAL DOWNSLOPE WINDS AT THE FIRE. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS SHOULD
PICK UP AGAIN LATE MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON. SIMILAR EVOLUTION
OF WINDS IS LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH EVEN
STRONGER WINDS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...AND MOISTURE GRADUALLY
INCREASING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT. IN ADDITION TO THE BUCK FLAT RAWS...OBSERVATIONS FROM THE
CWOP SENSOR IN ESCALANTE WERE USED IN THE PREPARATION OF THIS
FORECAST...AS IT IS MORE REPRESENTATIVE OF THE ELEVATION OF THE
FIRE...AND POSSIBLY THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRE LOCATION.
THE FIRE WEATHER ZONE JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE FIRE WILL BE IN A
RED FLAG WARNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........5 ..MODERATE.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
  MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-43.
  MAX HUMIDITY........33-35 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...WITH GUSTS
                      AROUND 15 MPH CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........5 ..MODERATE.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76.
  MIN HUMIDITY........7-10 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH
                      GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.

.OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A
                      SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-70.
  MIN HUMIDITY........11-14 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS
                      UP TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.



FORECASTER...SCHOENING
REQUESTED BY...JASON PORTER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110506.SPENC.01/SLC

$$