FNUS73 KAPX 071610
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MISHLER PERRY CR  RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1210 PM EDT SAT MAY 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...QUICK CLEARING OF LOW CLOUDS WILL GIVE WAY TO DEVELOPING
CUMULUS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS AT TIME OF IGNITION WILL BECOME
EASTERLY AND INCREASE SOME IS SPEED THIS AFTERNOON. SUNSHINE WILL HELP
MIX THE LOW LEVEL AIR MASS OUT INTO MUCH DRIER AIR ALOFT. THIS WILL RESULT
IN LOWER HUMIDITIES THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. STILL BELIEVE THAT HUMIDITIES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS...WITH WINDS AND CERTAINLY TEMPERATURES
HOLDING WELL BELOW CRITICAL VALUES.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP LIGHT WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT. HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL
BE GOOD TONIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4200-5600
                    FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........44  43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............60  61
RH..............37  35
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........43  43  41  41  41  41  41  41  19  19  19  19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............59  57  55  52  48  44  43  42  40  39  38  37
RH..............37  38  41  48  60  76  79  79  82  82  85  89
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH
REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110507.MISHL.01/APX