FNUS75 KGJT 070312
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST ELK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
912 PM MDT FRI MAY 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2100 MDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY BELOW
7500 FEET...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING BELOW 7500 FEET...

.DISCUSSION...A STEADY WESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY
AS FLAT UPPER RIDGING SHIFTS EAST. BY EARLY SUNDAY A PACIFIC LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHWEST STATES. OUT AHEAD OF
THIS SYSTEM...WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST OVER THE AREA...WITH
WINDS STRENGTHENING BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL MONDAY WHEN THE LOW DROPS INTO
THE GREAT BASIN.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPCANYON AND INCREASING TO
                    5-10 MPH BY 1300. BY 1400 BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 25-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 3-5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH
                    BY 1100. BY 1400 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12-17 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 25-35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    9500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...PMEDINA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110507.WESTE.01/GJT