FNUS74 KLUB 072209
FWSLUB

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR DICKENS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
509 PM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1640 CDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION...
THOUGH WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT. ALSO...A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE FIRE...THOUGH AT THIS TIME LOOKS TO REMAIN 30 MILES NORTH
OF THE LOCATION. POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
THE DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO ONLY RETREAT WESTWARD SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING
AND SHOULD REMAIN TO THE EAST OF THE FIRE/S LOCATION. BY MID MORNING...
THE DRYLINE WILL HAVE A SW TO NE ORIENTATION WITH LIGHT WESTERLY SURFACE
FLOW. THIS FLOW WILL SHIFT TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AND
INCREASE AS THE SURFACE LOW DEEPENS. ANOTHER ROUND OF HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SUNDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......18900-20000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........7      11     18     26     33     39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............98     93     83     78     73     70
RH..............6      7      12     15     21     31
20 FT WIND......SW 7   S 7    S 6    SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 7   S 7    S 6    SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
EYE LEVEL WIND..15     15     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....6      6      6      6      6      6

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 101.
MIN HUMIDITY........5 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO
                    24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 19500-20000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 35
                    MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO
                    24 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........38     36     32     29     28     28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     69     79     88     95     99
RH..............38     39     27     15     9      7
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 8   SW 12  SW 13  SW 14  SW 18
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     25     25     30     40
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6   SW 8   SW 12  SW 13  SW 14  SW 18
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     15     25     25     30     40
HAINES INDEX....6      6      6      6      6      6

$$
FORECASTER...MEADOWS
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN MUSGRAVES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110507.DICKE.01/LUB