FNUS74 KMAF 080204
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED CREEK...NM-ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
904 PM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1954 MDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE SUNDAY AS
STRONGER MID LEVEL WINDS FROM AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SPREAD EASTWARD INTO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  THESE STRONGER
WINDS...COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND EXTREME FIRE
DANGER...WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

IN ADDITION...THE VERY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT
IN MODERATE TO HIGH HAINES INDICES.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........13 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (213000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............88     76     71     66     61     58
RH..............3      4      6      7      10     12
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..19     17     18     19     20     19
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     20     25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....12500  BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
TRANS WIND SPD..17     13     13     15     17     17
VENT CAT........EXCLNT POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
HAINES INDEX....6      6      6      6      6      6

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........4 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 21 TO 26 MPH. GUSTS UP
                    TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (279800 KNOT-FT).
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............56     64     74     81     85     87
RH..............13     10     7      5      4      4
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      SW
20 FT WIND SPD..19     19     19     20     24     25
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     25     25     30     35
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 6000   11000  11000  12000
TRANS WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
TRANS WIND SPD..15     15     24     24     24     23
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR   VYGOOD EXCLNT EXCLNT EXCLNT
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

$$

FORECASTER...DEBERRY
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110507.CROOK.01/MAF