FNUS74 KMAF 081801
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED CREEK...NM-ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
101 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1954 MDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT
OVERNIGHT THEN INCREASE AGAIN BY MID-MORNING MONDAY.

THESE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY LOW AFTERNOON RH
TO GENERATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND AGAIN
ON MONDAY. POOR RH RECOVERY AND MODERATE TO HIGH HAINES
INDEX WILL HELP MAINTAIN EFFICIENT BURNING CONDITIONS
OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 95.
RH..................MIN 4 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (331400 KNOT-FT).
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      1 PM      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0         0
TEMP............90        95
RH..............6         3
20 FT WIND DIR..W         SW
20 FT WIND SPD..16        25
20 FT WIND GUST.25        35
MIX HGT (FT)....7700      10900
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..26        28
VENT CAT........EXCLNT    EXCLNT
HAINES INDEX....5         5

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.
RH..................MAX 15 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (277500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    PCLDY     PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0         0         0         0
TEMP............88        78        72        66
RH..............3         4         6         9
20 FT WIND DIR..SW        SW        W         W
20 FT WIND SPD..25        20        20        15
20 FT WIND GUST.35        30        30        25
MIX HGT (FT)....5500      BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W         SW        W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..30        18        19        17
VENT CAT........EXCLNT    POOR      POOR      POOR
HAINES INDEX....5         5         5         5

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 92.
RH..................MIN 5 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 40 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (418700 KNOT-FT).
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY     PCLDY     MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0         0         0         0
TEMP............65        74        83        92
RH..............12        9         6         4
20 FT WIND DIR..W         SW        SW        SW
20 FT WIND SPD..19        25        30        30
20 FT WIND GUST.25        35        45        45
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    6000      5800      10200
TRANS WIND DIR..W         SW        SW        SW
TRANS WIND SPD..16        38        38        38
VENT CAT........POOR      EXCLNT    EXCLNT    EXCLNT
HAINES INDEX....5         5         5         5

$$

FORECASTER...FAGEN
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110507.CROOK.01/MAF