FNUS73 KMPX 071436
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOWL FIRE...BIA/MN AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
936 AM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF INSTABILITY
WILL AID IN THE REDEVELOPMENT OF WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DISSIPATE LATER TODAY WITH INCREASING
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ON SUNDAY...AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BEGINS
TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF MUCH WARMER AND DEEPER MOISTURE TYPE
AIR MASS ON SUNDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP.
EXPECT THE ACTIVITY TO SPREAD SLOWLY EAST DURING THE DAY...WITH
WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS FOR THE
                    REMAINDER OF THE MORNING WITH SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 60.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4000-30200).

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD        SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............46     49     52     56     59     59
RH..............73     71     63     55     49     51
20 FT WIND......E 6    SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500-2200).

$$
FORECASTER...WFO MPX
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110507.BOWLF.01/MPX