FNUS73 KMPX 071401
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GREY CLOUD DUNES SNA...MNDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
901 AM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF INSTABILITY
WILL AID IN THE REDEVELOPMENT OF WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN MINNESOTA AND
WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL DISSIPATE LATER TODAY WITH INCREASING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
ON SUNDAY...AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF MUCH WARMER AND DEEPER MOISTURE TYPE
AIR MASS ON SUNDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP.
EXPECT THE ACTIVITY TO SPREAD SLOWLY EAST DURING THE DAY...WITH
WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5700-52000) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (49500-56500) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     65     68     68     62     57
RH..............46     45     40     40     50     59
20 FT WIND......E 5    SE 5   SE 5   SE 4   SE 4   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5      5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-46000).

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-43000) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (58200-80500) LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...WFO MPX
REQUESTED BY...STEVE WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110507.GREYC.01/MPX