FNUS73 KAPX 081359
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MISHLER PERRY CR  RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
959 AM EDT SUN MAY 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER HUDSON BAY WILL LEAD TO DRY
WEATHER TODAY...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND THE CRITICAL
25 PERCENT. HOWEVER...EASTERLY WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT AND
TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT IN THE MIDDLE 60S. THERE WILL BE VERY
GOOD RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVER TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY LATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 7700-8900
                    FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1000) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1000).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........17  17  17  34  34  34  34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............51  55  59  63  64  65  66
RH..............55  45  37  32  30  28  26
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15
SMOKE DISP......800 10001000900 700 600 500

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........34  34  21  21  21  21  21  21  32  32  32  32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............64  62  60  58  55  53  51  48  46  43  41  38
RH..............28  30  32  35  38  41  47  53  61  69  76  88
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.15  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...ANDREW SULLIVAN
REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110508.MISHL.01/APX