FNUS75 KBOU 082138 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SNYDER CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 338 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...CONTINUING FAIRLY STRONG MONDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND UTAH AREA. THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN DRY OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE A BIT FROM THE CURRENT SPEEDS ON MONDAY. THERE MAY BE SOME RELIEF IN THE FROM OF RAIN OR A RAIN-SNOW MIX TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO COLORADO. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65. MIN HUMIDITY........6-10%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......19000-20000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 17000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35. MAX HUMIDITY........40-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......15400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 40-50 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12000-12600 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SNDER CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/08-15 32 0 0 67 7 SW17 28 5 1 SW24 20369 SW23 411546 E 05/08-16 32 0 0 67 7 SW16 26 4 1 SW24 18680 SW24 384105 E 05/08-17 32 0 0 66 8 W15 23 3 1 SW24 16991 SW24 356665 E 05/08-18 22 0 0 64 10 W13 21 2 1 SW25 15302 SW25 329224 E 05/08-19 22 0 0 61 13 W10 17 2 1 SW28 12256 SW24 261814 E 05/08-20 22 0 0 56 17 W 8 14 3 1 SW31 9211 SW24 194405 E 05/08-21 22 0 0 50 22 SW 7 7 3 1 SW33 6166 SW24 126995 V 05/08-22 22 0 0 47 27 W 6 6 3 1 SW32 4794 SW22 96065 G 05/08-23 22 0 0 44 30 W 6 6 2 1 SW31 3423 SW21 65135 G 05/09-00 20 0 0 42 33 W 6 6 2 1 S30 2051 SW20 34205 P 05/09-01 20 0 0 40 36 W 7 7 2 1 S32 1575 SW20 26218 P 05/09-02 20 0 0 38 39 W 7 7 3 1 SW35 1099 W20 18231 P 05/09-03 20 0 0 36 42 W 8 13 3 1 SW38 623 W18 10244 P 05/09-04 20 0 0 35 43 W 8 13 3 1 SW41 698 W20 12026 P 05/09-05 20 0 0 35 43 W 8 13 4 1 SW44 772 W21 13808 P 05/09-06 34 0 0 35 43 W 8 13 4 1 SW47 847 W21 15590 P 05/09-07 34 0 0 37 41 W 8 14 3 1 SW48 2419 SW24 57864 F 05/09-08 34 0 0 41 37 SW 9 15 3 1 SW49 3991 SW26 100138 V 05/09-09 34 0 0 45 31 SW10 16 2 1 SW49 5562 SW30 142412 V 05/09-10 34 0 0 50 25 SW13 20 2 1 SW51 6615 SW32 193230 E 05/09-11 34 0 0 53 20 SW14 23 2 1 SW51 7667 SW36 244048 E 05/09-12 70 20 4 56 17 SW16 25 2 3 SW52 8720 SW39 294866 E 05/09-13 70 20 4 58 15 SW17 28 2 3 SW54 10037 SW43 374827 E 05/09-14 70 20 4 59 14 SW18 30 2 3 SW58 11354 SW45 454788 E 05/09-15 70 20 4 59 14 SW20 31 2 3 SW61 12670 SW48 534750 E 05/09-16 70 20 4 60 15 SW22 36 2 3 SW67 12290 SW49 524625 E 05/09-17 70 20 4 59 16 SW24 38 2 3 SW73 11909 SW49 514500 E 05/09-18 57 5 1 56 19 SW24 39 2 1 SW76 11529 SW51 504375 E 05/09-19 57 5 1 53 22 SW22 35 2 1 SW76 9688 SW45 394623 E 05/09-20 57 5 1 48 26 SW17 28 2 1 SW74 7847 SW39 284870 E 05/09-21 57 5 1 43 31 SW12 18 2 1 SW70 6007 SW33 175118 E 05/09-22 57 5 1 40 36 SW10 16 2 1 SW73 5639 SW33 162721 E 05/09-23 57 5 1 38 41 W10 16 2 1 SW77 5272 SW32 150323 E 05/10-00 34 0 0 35 45 W10 16 2 1 SW79 4904 SW32 137925 V 05/10-01 34 0 0 34 48 W10 16 2 1 SW78 4082 SW30 109168 V 05/10-02 34 0 0 32 52 W 9 15 2 1 SW77 3260 SW28 80411 G 05/10-03 34 0 0 30 54 W 9 15 2 1 SW75 2437 SW24 51654 F 05/10-04 34 0 0 30 56 W 9 14 2 1 SW74 2605 W23 51416 F 05/10-05 34 0 0 29 56 W 8 13 2 1 SW74 2773 W22 51178 F 05/10-06 36 2 0 29 54 W 8 13 2 1 SW75 2941 W20 50940 F 05/10-07 36 2 0 32 48 W 8 13 2 1 SW75 3879 SW23 80377 G 05/10-08 36 2 0 34 42 W 8 14 2 1 SW76 4816 SW25 109813 V 05/10-09 36 2 0 39 34 W 9 15 2 1 SW77 5754 SW28 139249 V 05/10-10 36 2 0 43 28 SW10 16 2 1 SW77 6640 SW28 161306 E 05/10-11 36 2 0 46 25 SW12 18 2 1 SW77 7526 SW28 183362 E 05/10-12 64 18 4 49 22 SW13 21 2 3 SW75 8411 SW28 205419 E 05/10-13 64 18 4 50 21 SW15 23 2 3 SW69 9159 SW29 231919 E 05/10-14 64 18 4 51 21 S16 26 2 3 SW63 9907 S30 258419 E 05/10-15 64 18 4 52 20 S17 28 2 3 SW58 10656 S31 284920 E 05/10-16 64 18 4 52 21 S17 26 2 3 SW55 10669 S31 288579 E 05/10-17 64 18 4 51 22 SW15 24 2 3 SW55 10683 SW31 292238 E 05/10-18 81 41 18 49 25 SW13 21 2 1 SW54 10696 SW32 295897 E 05/10-19 81 41 18 47 28 SW 9 15 2 1 S53 8776 S25 214392 E 05/10-20 81 41 18 43 34 W 6 6 3 1 S51 6856 S18 132887 V 05/10-21 81 41 18 39 42 W 3 3 3 1 S48 4935 S12 51382 F 05/10-22 81 41 18 36 50 NW 2 2 3 1 S46 3620 S10 36017 P 05/10-23 81 41 18 33 57 N 2 2 3 1 S45 2304 SE 8 20652 P 05/11-00 81 48 24 31 63 NE 3 3 3 1 S44 989 SE 6 5286 P 05/11-01 81 48 24 30 69 NE 5 5 3 1 S43 1005 SE 7 6526 P 05/11-02 81 48 24 28 74 NE 5 5 2 1 S43 1021 E 9 7766 P 05/11-03 81 48 24 27 78 NE 6 6 2 1 S41 1037 E10 9005 P 05/11-04 81 48 24 26 79 NE 6 6 2 1 S39 1210 E12 12121 P 05/11-05 81 48 24 26 78 NE 7 7 2 1 S37 1384 E13 15237 P 05/11-06 81 48 24 26 77 NE 7 7 2 1 S33 1557 E14 18352 P 05/11-07 81 48 24 28 70 NE 8 13 2 1 S31 2706 E14 32003 P 05/11-08 81 48 24 29 67 NE 9 14 3 1 S28 3854 E14 45654 F 05/11-09 81 48 24 32 59 NE 9 15 3 1 S23 5003 E14 59305 F 05/11-10 81 48 24 34 53 NE 8 14 3 1 SW15 5390 E10 46629 F 05/11-11 81 48 24 36 48 NE 7 7 2 1 NW 7 5777 NE 7 33952 P 05/11-12 81 48 24 38 46 NE 6 6 2 1 CALM 6165 NE 3 21276 P 05/11-13 81 48 24 39 46 N 5 5 2 1 N 3 6396 N 7 41511 F 05/11-14 81 48 24 39 47 NW 2 2 2 1 NW 8 6627 NW10 61747 G 05/11-15 81 48 24 40 48 W 2 2 2 1 NW14 6858 W14 81982 G 05/11-16 81 48 24 40 50 W 5 5 2 1 NW16 6851 NW17 105498 V 05/11-17 81 48 24 39 52 NW 7 7 2 1 NW18 6845 NW22 129015 V 05/11-18 64 31 10 39 56 NW 9 15 2 1 NW20 6838 NW25 152531 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110508.SNYDE.01/BOU