FNUS74 KEPZ 081557
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ABRAMS...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
957 AM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0941 MDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LOW WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND INTO
THE GREAT BASIN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS IT DOES...WINDS
ALOFT WILL BE INCREASING AND A SURFACE LOW DEEPENING OVER THE
PLAINS OF COLORADO. THIS WILL SETUP A TIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE
AREA WITH WINDS OF 20 TO 30+ MPH LIKELY THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE
WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH SINGLE DIGIT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO
CREATE EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE EASTERN SLOPES WILL
LIKELY SEE STRONG WINDS THROUGH AT LEAST MIDNIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY
DECREASING WHILE WESTERN SLOPES WILL DECREASE SHORTLY AFTER
SUNSET. MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO SEE THE STRONGEST WINDS OF THE NEXT
3 DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLING DOWN A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY
FROM MONDAY TO WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL HELP SLIGHTLY WITH MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NEAR
FUTURE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70 AT HIGHEST ELEVATIONS TO 87 AT LOWEST.
MIN HUMIDITY........2-5 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO
                    20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50 HIGHEST ELEVATIONS TO AROUND 60 LOWEST.
MAX HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY..WEST-SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    35 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 KNOTS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF BLOWING
                    DUST IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65 HIGHEST ELEVATIONS TO AROUND 85 LOWEST.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-7 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY..SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH INCREASING
                    TO 22 TO 32 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 KNOTS.


$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110508.ABRAM.01/EPZ